President Trump Impeachment Odds

Every US President faces talk of impeachment at some point during their term(s) in office, but impeachment betting odds are usually reserved for when there is a serious Congressional push to launch an inquiry or bring charges against a sitting head of state.

As former President Donald Trump faced impeachment twice (Dec. 2021), many online sportsbooks like what they see with this new trend, especially from a betting perspective. That's why many of the top books – having moved on from Trump impeachment odds – are now embracing Joe Biden impeachment odds. President Donald Trump was acquitted in his first Senate impeachment trial in February 2020. The betting odds also favor Trump getting acquitted in his second impeachment trial.

Of course, when that happens, impeachment odds become the most popular and sought-after betting lines at legal online sportsbooks, and that’s been the case in 2019 as Donald Trump faces down serious allegations of impeachable offenses.

Still, because impeachment is an intensely political process with ramifications on both sides of the aisle and with the public at large (no matter which way the proceedings go), bettors are often extremely tempered in their analysis of whether or not a President will be impeached. That said, as with all legal political betting, there is much to be gleaned about a President’s impeachment chances by looking to the odds boards.

Is It Legal To Bet On Presidential Impeachment Odds?

Vegas

It is largely considered to be legal to wager on Presidential impeachment odds if you use an offshore betting site to do so. Despite the growing number of US-regulated online and brick-and-mortar sportsbooks popping up across the country, you will not find political betting odds at these locations.

This is because most state governments either disallow or discourage sportsbooks from offering election odds. Fortunately, political betting has always been popular at offshore sites, and those remain the only places to find odds on politics and government-related issues.

Important note: In two US states – Connecticut and Washington – there are laws on the books that ban online betting of any kind. That said, these laws are considered unenforceable, and neither state has ever arrested or fined any resident for gambling over the Internet. Still, if you live in CT or WA, we advise you to follow local and all federal betting laws and only bet online at your own risk.

Best Sportsbooks Offering Impeachment Betting Lines

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Betting On Donald Trump's Impeachment Odds

Typically, you can bet on Donald Trump’s impeachment odds at any reputable offshore sports betting site, but there are no betting lines posted for his impeachment chances at the moment. That is largely due to the forthcoming 2020 Presidential election, where Democratic Party leaders are hopeful that US voters will oust Trump and alleviate the need for them to begin the impeachment process again.

Our political prop bets guide is a good tool for exploring prop bets such as impeachment odds, and other factors surrounding the 2020 Presidential election. This prob bet tutorial will properly prepare bettors for when impeachment odds eventually reappear at political sportsbooks.

Current Odds for Donald Trump to be Impeached Again

President Trump Impeachment Odds

There are no current odds for Donald Trump being impeached at major offshore legal sports betting sites because of the upcoming Presidential election in November. Democrats, and even some Republicans, like US Senator Mitt Romney, are hopeful that Joe Biden will win the Presidency and alleviate the need for impeachment hearings to begin again.

Will Donald Trump be impeached again? If he wins his reelection bid in 2020, he almost certainly will face impeachment hearings in the US House. If and when that happens, top political sportsbooks will produce odds that will allow bettors to wager the outcome.

Odds

Will Biden complete first term as U.S. President?

  • Yes -165
  • No +125

Will New Articles Of Impeachment Be Filed

  • Before Jan 20, 2021 - Yes -220
  • Before Jan 20, 2021 - No +155

What Is a Presidential Impeachment?

Impeachment is a largely misunderstood concept. Many people think that impeachment means that a President will be removed from office, but that’s actually never happened. Impeachment is a legal accusation of criminal malfeasance, and it is purely a political process. An analogy to Presidential impeachment is, for private citizens, a criminal or civil charge in a court of law. And like every person in America, once impeached, the President gets due process before removal can ever happen.

Throughout all of US history, only two Presidents have ever been impeached: Bill Clinton (1998-1999) and Andrew Johnson (1868). Richard Nixon was set to face impeachment in 1974, but he resigned the Presidency before any charges were brought.

How Does the Impeachment Process Work?

The Presidential impeachment process is simple enough, and it includes the following fundamental procedural steps:

  1. The US House of Representatives opens an impeachment inquiry against a sitting President after reports or evidence that said President has committed an illegal action that falls under the umbrella of “Treason, Bribery, or other high crimes and misdemeanors.”
  2. The US House takes a vote on whether or not to bring Articles of Impeachment against the President. A simple majority is required to officially bring such charges.
  3. Once the Articles of Impeachment are passed, the US Senate takes over, conducting a trial of the President. This trial is overseen by the Chief Justice of the US Supreme Court.
  4. If the President is found guilty via a two-thirds supermajority vote in the Senate, he or she is immediately removed from office.
  5. The Vice President then becomes the President of the United States.
  6. If the VP is also impeached, the House Speaker would become President.
Odds

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Despite a defiant tone struck by President Donald Trump during a shouty exit from the White House to assembled media (where he could be seen reading large handwritten notes stating “no quid pro quo”), the impeachment hearings against him are not going well.

How bad?

So bad that oddsmakers now view his impeachment as a matter of not “if” but “when.”

Donald Trump impeachment odds

Will Donald Trump Be Impeached?Odds
Yes-300
No+250

President Trump is now priced at -300 to be impeached at the European exchange Betfair. That moneyline wager means you’d need to bet $300 to win $100. The “No” odds are +250, meaning a $100 bet wins you $250.

Bookies Odds On Trump Impeachment

Crowd-sourced platform Smarkets is pricing a similar outcome. “Will the House of Representatives pass articles of impeachment against Trump during his first term” is at nearly 83%.

President Trump 2020 US presidential election odds

Even though Trump’s impeachment seems likely, he’s still the favorite to be re-elected. The 2020 presidential election odds remain unchanged as of today, with Trump +130 to win the White House again.

President Trump Impeachment Odds 2019

He’s followed by Elizabeth Warren (+450). As Pete Buttigieg surges in Iowa, his odds continue to improve (+800) as well.